James Spann @spann@noagendasocial.com

Another active severe weather day is ahead for the Central U.S...

Maybe a stairway to heaven?

A look at the three hurricanes in the Atlantic basin. Katia will drift into Mexico, and Jose will stay far from land for the foreseeable future. Irma, of course, is the one to watch. This is not too unusual since the climatological peak of the Atlantic hurricane season is just few days away...

Hurricane Irma on San Juan radar this afternoon...

GOES 16 visible view of Hurricane Irma this morning. Category five hurricane with sustained winds of 185 mph.

*Irma is expected to take a hard right turn over Cuba late this week, or early in the weekend. It is simply too early to know when that right turn happens; the timing of the turn will determine the impact over Florida.

*As a course of least regret, people in South Florida should begin preparations now for a potentially major hurricane.

Irma is a category three hurricane in the Atlantic. Still too early to forecast a final destination, despite the social media hyperbole floating around.

It is unlikely this enters the Gulf of Mexico. It could impact the U.S. East Coast, or it could recurve into the open Atlantic with no landfall. There is simply little to no skill in forecasting the placement and intensity of a tropical cyclone beyond five days. Keep an eye on official NHC products in coming days.

European (ECMWF) model output for Irma, now reaching hurricane status in the eastern Atlantic. There is a good chance this reaches category 4 or 5 status, but it is WAY too early to know the final destination. The spread among the members of the ensemble is large. We will be watching.
https://noagendasocial.com/media/1byldUzn0Ia7JS7CoLk

As we near the peak of the Atlantic hurricane season, we now have "Invest 93L" emerging off the coast of Africa... European model suggests this will recurve, but it is WAY too early to know for sure.

Tropical Storm Irma will likely form off the Georgia coast within the next 24 hours; it will scoot along the coast of the Carolinas through mid-week, then kicks out to sea.

And, of course, Harvey is still hanging around...

New run of the reliable European global model shows Harvey over Galveston Bay Wednesday morning at 7a CT. This is a long duration flood event for Houston; it will continue for days.

Flash flood emergency in Houston.

Another look at the tornado today at Cypress, Texas in a spiral band rotating around the center of Harvey... video from Sanda Judge

Facebag is down... what will people do?

Spectacular GOES 16 look at the eye of Harvey Friday before landfall...

Harvey is a category two hurricane with sustained winds of 110 mph; landfall will come late tonight on the Texas coast near Corpus Christi. The system will stall over the region for 4-5 days, setting the stage for life threatening flooding.

Strong words from the NWS in Corpus Christi this morning in their hurricane local action statement...

Harvey will make landfall on the Texas coast late tomorrow night near Corpus Christi as a strong category three... then it hangs around for 3-4 days with potential for severe, life threatening flooding.

Harvey is intensifying rapidly, and is now expected to become a category three, major hurricane by the time of landfall tomorrow night on the Texas coast...

Harvey is expected to move into the Texas coast near Corpus Christi tomorrow night as a category one hurricane. Dangerous, life threatening flooding is possible along the upper half of the Texas coast through early next week, where 15-25 inches of rain are likely. Some spots could see more, and this does include Houston and Galveston.